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...it's all about me! ;-)

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Tauchgangs-Logbuch Software

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Ich kann die Kombination von More Mobile Softwares Dive Log auf den iOS-Geräten (iPhone/iPodTouch/iPad) und Sven Kochs Diving Log (aktuell in der Version 5.0, Update von 4.0 war kostenlos) sehr empfehlen.
Um Windows-Programme wie letzteres auf dem Apple Mac oder unter Linux laufen zu lassen, empfehle ich das kostenlose Open-Source Programm VirtualBox von Sun bzw. Oracle, meiner Erfahrung nach ist es besser und schneller als die kommerziellen Alternativen.
Auf dem Mac gibt es zudem die nativen Programme Mac Dive Log und MacDive, letzteres jetzt auch in neuer Version 2.0 und absolut empfehlenswert. Beide lassen sich mit dem iOS Dive Log synchronisieren, verwenden aber nicht das gleiche Datenbank-Format so dass evtl. nicht alles synchronisiert wird.
Mittels des von More Mobile Software bereitgestellten Synchronisationsprogramms lassen sich auch Backups der iOS-DiveLog-Datenbank auf dem Mac speichern und daraus auch wiederherstellen.
Auf dem PC ist das nicht notwendig, da die PC-Software von Sven Koch das gleiche Datenbank-Format verwendet und daher auch die Datenstruktur 100% kompatibel ist.
Was die Features angeht sind beide Programme für alle Arten von Sport-Tauchgängen (auch Tek- und Rebreather-Tauchen, sowie Tauchschüler-Ausbildung) geeignet und bieten fast alles was man jemals brauchen könnte.
Die einzige Funktion, die ich noch vermisse, ist eine Funktion zum abfotografieren der Buddy-Unterschrift und des Stempels, denn die eingebaute Funktion zum unterschreiben per Finger auf dem Touchscreen funktioniert erst mit viel Übung richtig gut, und ist daher nur mit selten wechselnden und geduldigen Buddies sinnvoll. Ich habe dies bereits als Wunsch bei den Entwicklern angemeldet, aber es wird erst umgesetzt wenn noch mehr Leute diesen Wunsch äußern.
 

Implications of EROEI ratios

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The EROEI (Energy Return On Energy Investment) ratio of any technology simply shows one thing: Wether the technology is an energy source (EROEI >1:1, so more energy is produced by it than is used to build and run it) or an energy sink (EROEI <1:1, so less energy is produced by it than is used to build and run it). Examples of energy sinks are ethanol made from corn (EROEI of about 0.85:1) and PV (Photo Voltaic) in Germany (EROEI of about 0.95:1). If the technology has an EROEI of about 1:1, it simply is a means to re-label fossil energy sources to "reneable" ones. Examples of energy sources are petroleum wells in Saudi Arabia (EROEI of about 30:1) and CSP (Concentrating Solar Power) in north Afrika (EROEI of about 60:1).

If the technology is an energy source, and its EROEI ratio and life-time are known, one can calculate how fast it can be deployed/scaled-up sustainably. Lets say we would like to grow PV sustainably in an area of insolation where PV can achieve an EROEI of 2:1. We know the life-time of PV cells is about 25 to 40 years, so lets assume an average of about 32 years. From that we can tell, that we could get twice the energy we invested out of PV after 32 years. Since the intial investment was made with fossil energy which would be compensated after about 16 years of operation, we could only sustainably renew our PV installation during the remaining 16 years of operation. Since the new installation does not use any fossil energy sources, its production could then be used to double the installation size every 32 years. So we would not get any sustainable growth within the first 32 years, but after that we could double the installed PV capacity every 32 years. However, if we did that, we would not have any of the solar energy left for anything besides the production, installation, and operation of new PV plants. So it would be a rather pointless exercise.

This shows us, that we need renewable energy sources with a much greater EROEI ratio than 2:1, if we want to grow reneables within a reasonable time-frame and use their generated energy at the same time.

Lets run through an example based on PV in southern California, where it might achieve an EROEI ratio of about 4:1. There it would only take about 8 years to break even, after 16 years we could have doubled, and after 24 years quadrupled the PV installation. At the end of the life time of the first plant, we could end up with an eightfold increase of PV power generation capacity. Now this already looks a lot better than our previous example, right?

However, even in these very good circumstances it is not nearly good enough to compensate for dwindling oil production and to combat climate change.
Why? Our initial installation is based on fossil fuels, of which we can only allocate a tiny amount to building renewable energy sources, without breaking the rest of our economy. So our initial installation size is very limited, but we still have to meet enormous generating capacity goals in the near future.

Ten years from now we will have to have replaced coal with renewables, and another 15 years later we would have to have done the same with oil, followed by natural gas another ten years after that. At the same time we will have to make enormous progress on energy efficiency to flatten our consumption at the current level, and find a way to extract a good portion of the CO2 we have put in the atmosphere in the past. Because until we have finished the transformation of our econonmy to run on renable instead of fossil energy sources, we will still add more CO2 to the atmosphere. However the current level is already at 380ppm, but we need to get below 350ppm really quickly to get last century's favourable weather patterns back, preferably before Greenland's and Antarctica's ice has slipped into the sea and the enormous amounts of frozen methane are released from the permafrost.

Now lets take a look at CSP plants. Depending on whose calculations you want to believe and where the plants are built, CSP has an EROEI ratio of about 30:1 to 70:1 over its life time of about 30 to 40 years if deployed in deserts with good insolation. So lets assume an average EROEI of about 50:1 with an average life time of 33 years and 4 months. This would mean that CSP generates the energy it takes to build, install and operate in only 8 months, within 16 months we could have doubled our installation, and within two years we could quadruple our installation. In the lifetime of the first plant, we could achive an 281.474.976.710.656-fold increase in production capacity.

If we started out with a modest 50MW plant, within only 14 years we could build enough CSP power generation capacity to power all of humanity and completely replace coal, petroleum and natural gas as energy sources. Of course in reality there would likely be other factors limiting the rate at which CSP could be up-scaled, meaning that not all of the CSP power would be used to build new plants. So we would use the surplus CSP power to reduce the use of fossil energy sources.

Some of these other limiting factors might be: available capital, available numbers of engineers and skilled workers, transmission line capacity, construction materials, etc.
 

Scale of the Energy Problem

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I would like to point out that most people vastly over-estimate the potential of most renewable energy sources, and under-estimate the scale of the task we are facing when it comes to energy. Building our future energy supply is by far the biggest challenge humanity has ever faced. To meet it, we would have to build one new 1000 MW nuclear power plant every day for the next few four decades, and we are already a decade behind schedule to meet the moderate goals of the IPCC. If we actually did this, we would run out of uranium within a few years while turning our planet into a toxic nuclear waste dump. And of course at the end of the 4 decades, we would have to start over, as the oldest plants would approach their end of life by then.

Concentrating solar-thermal power (CSP) ist the only technology currently available which has the potential to solve our energy and climate problems. Hopefully it will be complemented in the near future by new technologies.

For more info on this, I recommend an excellent presentation by Dr. Nathan Lewis of the California Institute of Technology (CalTech).

He also gave a very good presentation on a possible future technology to solve the energy problem, which his team is working on at CalTech.

Note that Dr. Lewis seems to have missed the possibility of thermal energy storage used by modern CSP plants.

 

Replacing Petroleum

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Currently the vast majority of oil fulfills two main functions:
  1. Its is an energy source.
  2. It is a very convenient transportation fuel.

If we can find replacements for oil in these two areas only, we could re-allocate at least 80% of the world's oil production to other areas, where it is needed more. It is possible to do this with today's technology:


Replacing oil, coal and nuclear as energy sources

This is easily possible by using just a tiny 0.2% of the world's deserts for electricity production with CSP (concentrating solar-thermal power) plants. These plants have an EROEI (energy return on energy investment) of about 70:1, last about 35 years, and are more profitable than nuclear plants and almost as profitable as coal-fired plants. They can provide energy on demand through heat-storage, too.
The electricity distribution over long distances is easily possible with HVDC transmission lines, which only have transmission-losses of about 3% per 1000 km or 620 miles, and would raise the cost of the electricity for the consumers about 1% per 1000 km or 620 miles. 90% of the world's population live within about 3000 km or 1860 miles of a suitable desert.

This means that 90% of the world's population could be supplied with "renewable" electricity at about the same cost as their current "carbon+nuclear" electricity. All of this is possible with the currently available technology and commodities. For more information on this look at the www.desertec.org project and studies.


Replacing oil as a very convenient transportation fuel

This can be done by using solar energy and waste-bio-mass to produce second generation bio-fuels made from cellulose, hemicellulose und lignin. This is called BtL (biomass-to-liquid) and admittedly is brand new technology, but it has been proven to work. The first demonstration plant is currently going into production in Germany, which will produce about 15 000 metric tons of BtL fuel annually. Choren Industries and Shell have stated, that construction of the first large-scale production plant with an annual capacity of about 200 000 metric tons is scheduled to start in 2009. This will finally combine the production of food and bio-fuel, so that valueable food is no longer turned into fuel, using the non-eatable plant-parts instead. A by-product of BtL-fuel production is mineral-fertiliser, which would be used to keep the soils productive.

Another option which is also ready for large-scale deployment, is GtL (gas to liquid). This essentially turns natural gas into diesel fuel. In Germany Shell has been selling its "V-Power Diesel" fuel sind 2004, which contains 5% GtL fuels.

In addition to that the plug-in hybrid should become viable in the next couple of years, and a few years later the EV. Battery technology is advancing rapidly, doubling capacity about every three to four years, while improving other aspects like charge-times, charge-cycles etc. at the same time.

Another option, which is currently being worked on by scientists and engineers, is the large-scale production of algae with a high percentage of lipids (oil), as a source of bio-mass for bio-fuels. This might become an option to capture CO2 from old coal-fired power plants in a few years, so that the emitted CO2 would at least be used twice before ending up in the atmosphere.


Finally: The production of fresh-water and other commodities

Thanks to the almost unlimeted amount of cheap reneable energy from CSP-plants, other commodities can be produced, too. A prime example is water desalination with the waste heat of CSP-plants, or the use of the same waste heat for the production of glass and steel to build more CSP plants.


But is it not too late?

While the current economic crisis was probably caused by a lack of cheap oil, the economic slow-down has also lead to a reduction in the use of oil (as ducumented by the currently very low oil price). If we could re-start our economies by starting the large-scale production of CSP-plants, wind-power-plants, HVDC power lines, BtL-plants, electric rail-roads, maglev-systems, and electric cars, we could probably achieve exponential growth of renewable energy utilisation. This way we could compensate for the probably also exponential decline in oil-production.

Last Updated on Wednesday, 26 November 2008 07:30
 

Emergency Equipment

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Today I purchased some medical emergency equipment, both for scuba diving and for general use. Price wise two items stand out quite a bit: the emergency oxygen unit and the automated external defibrillator (AED). So naturally I tried my best to find the best of both.

For the oxygen unit, I pretty quickly realised, that the prices don't differ that much. If you want one with a demand valve (enabling patients to breathe almost 100% oxygen, compared to about 75% on a non-rebreather mask), the offers from DAN Europe (the diver's alert network) are very good value and the quality is very high.

For AEDs there are much better devices than the ones DAN had on offer, and after a little bit of research on the net I decided to go for the Zoll AED Plus. This is quite costly, but it has some unique features, like a sensor that measures both frequency and depth of CPR chest compressions and a device lid that doubles as a head rest which holds the head in the right position to keep the airways open. It also gives both verbal and visual instructions for CPR.

Last Updated on Wednesday, 26 November 2008 08:37
 

Getting things sorted in Germany

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Today I got Tony's monthly invitation to the next crew night at NZ Sea Adventures:

> Our Kilbirnie meeting is next Wednesday 4th June at
> the corner of Kemp & Tacy Sts, Kilbirnie. Come after work and throw
> something on the BBQ for a shared meal. We have an excellent guest
> speaker, and all are welcome.

I wish I could be there. I can't wait to go diving again, too.

I'm currently very busy with paperwork to get back into the German social security system, which is a couple of days worth of work. German bureaucracy at its worst. Frown

At the same time I'm trying to get my flat back into a liveable state. The other day I got my waterbed repaired, but there is still a lot of tidying and cleaning to do. There is an 18 months old layer of dust on everything. Next time I'm away for a longer period of time I will certainly cover everything with big sheets.

Claire has started working for my dad's company, so at least she is not distracting me all the time with moans of "I'm bored, I want to go out" all the time.

Tomorrow I will have to drive down to Frankfurt Airport (4 hours drive) to collect my computer monitor, which I had sent over with Qantas Freight but arrived at Lufthansa Freight. For some strange reason they seem to be unable to forward it to Paderborn Airport (40 minutes drive).

The car in Wellington has not sold yet, so I have just lowered the reserve price by $500. I'll keep reducing it by $250 a week now until it sells.

As expected, PADI (or the postal services) are taking ages to send me my instructor pack and certification card, too. The envelope that arrived here three days before we left NZ turned out to be the member forum participation certificate.

Last Updated on Wednesday, 26 November 2008 08:39
 

Travel to Germany

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Claire (my girlfriend) and I traveled from New Zealand to Germany yesterday and today.

During our ten hour interval between flights in Sidney we looked at the Royal Botanical Gardens, the Opera House, and Government House.

In Singapore everyone had to get off the plane with all the carry-on luggage (which in our case was about 30 kg) and wait in the airport for half an hour, while customs officers checked the plane and every passenger for drugs.

In Frankfurt our flight to Paderborn was delayed because of a strike and it took the airline a while to find a crew that was actually working. Fortunately our checked luggage (three really big suitcases each, with a combined weight of 138 kg) was checked through from Wellington to Paderborn. Otherwise it would have been close to impossible to catch this domestic flight.

But in the end we arrived exhausted and very very tired, but safely here in Soest.

Last Updated on Wednesday, 26 November 2008 08:39
 

Scuba Instructor, move to Europe

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PADI has finally processed and approved my Open Water Scuba Instructor application and the associated paperwork (exam results, fees), and confirmed my new qulification by e-mail. My OWSI pack with my certification card and certificate will be sent directly to Germany, because Claire and I are going to Europe for about 6 to 24 months, leaving in less than two weeks.

So far I have completed my PADI Specialty Instructor courses for Oxygen Provider, Wreck, Underwater Navigation, Digital Underwater Photography, Underwater Videography, Drysuit, Enriched Air, Search & Recovery, and Diver Propulsion Vehicle with my Course Director Tony Howell of NZ Sea Adventures. I also completed the DSAT Gas Blender course. But I have not made my application for these qualifications to PADI yet, because I want to do two more Specialty Instructor courses before leaving Wellington: Deep, and Night diving.

Last Updated on Wednesday, 26 November 2008 08:40
 

PADI Open Water Scuba Instructor

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Just a quick note to let everyone know that I did pass the PADI Open Water Scuba Instructor exams. An OWSI can run PADI Open Water Diver, Adventure Diver, Advanced Open Water Diver, Rescue Diver, and Divemaster courses. I'm now working on getting a few Specialty Instructor qualifications to be able to teach things like the Diver Propulsion Vehicle Diver, Digital Underwater Photography, Enriched Air Diver, and Drift Diver specialty courses.

I have already completed my Emergency First Responder Trainer course, so I can now teach first aid and CPR courses, too.

I'm also getting my DSAT Gas Blender qualifications this week.

Last Updated on Wednesday, 26 November 2008 08:40
 

My IDC starts this week

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Yep, its time for my second try on getting on the PADI Instructor Examination. The first one in November I missed due to equipment failure at the last minute.

So from Wednesday I'll be going through another PADI Instructor Development Course, which will last 10 days, followed by the three-day IE. If it is anything like the last IDC, I'll be working/studying an average of 17 hours per day, so don't expect me to reply to any kind of communication attempts for the next two weeks.

Last Updated on Wednesday, 26 November 2008 08:40
 
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